Blues vs. Stars NHL Pick – November 29th
My NHL choice that was free dropped as the Canadiens’ streak was extended to six games — most of which have come on home ice and five of which have come inside the Eastern Conference from clubs.
The majority of the Canadiens held their end of their bargain to be honest. Montreal outshot the Devils at the night double their shot on home ice this year from 13 and peppered Devils netminder Mackenzie Blackwood with 48 shots.
Still, Carey Price was once again not up to this task as he allowed the next five goals — for the third straight game — and his 29 to get 34 on the night (the 35th went to a vacant net) led to an .854 Sv percent.
The 6-4 Devils final sunk our Canadiens in law pick.
There is a lot of chance to get back to the ideal track on the 12-game NHL program of tonight!
Season Record: 29-27
Let us Look at the Central Division competition matchup including the Blues vs. Stars out of American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Let’s look at every one of these clubs prior to getting in my final selection!
The Blues stay beneath the Western Conference and the Central Division they have not exactly enjoyed their best run of success .
Over their past eight matches, the Blues have only 3 wins, but these 3 wins came in rather impressive fashion.
Together with a losing streak snapping on Wednesday two of those wins came. Another win was a 5-0 beating of the Calgary Flames on home ice last Thursday.
While they’re a strong 7-3-3 on home ice this year, the Blues have performed well on the road to catch points and have an 8-2-3 record.
They’ve managed to win matches on the road sporting road numbers, but maybe not road numbers.
Their 3.15 goals per game on the road rank 11th in the NHL while their 2.92 goals against per game over the road sits in an three-way tie for eighth along with the Avalanche and Hurricanes. They do, but sport a -4.9 typical shot on the street plus they rank 11th in road offense despite standing last with only 27.6 shots per game in the street.
But a deeper dive into their road numbers reveals something more concerning. The Blues’ 44.79percent Corsi For% at 5v5 play on the road positions 28th league wide. Their 44.33percent scoring chances for percentage (SCFpercent ) ranks 26th, but most concerning is that their horrible 34.72% high-danger odds percentage (HDCFpercent ) which is easily the worst mark in the NHL.
It appears that the Blues have been extremely fortunate to be on the perfect side of their results on the path.
Why would that be? Because their .883 save percentage in high-danger opportunities against is the best mark in the NHL.
You’d think that much of this would be on account of the Jordan Binnington, but tonight’s starter will be Jake Allen using Binnington starting the tail end of the tomorrow night against the Penguins. The good news for Blues lovers is that Allen was good on the road.
Tonight will mark only the seventh start along with five of the first six’ve come on the street.
As far as street goaltending goes, the Binnington vs. Allen scenario was a scrub.
All great things come to an end which was the case for the Stars as their seven-game winning streak was snapped with a 3-0 loss to the Blackhawks in Chicago on Tuesday. They do carry a seven-game home winning streak to this 1 tonight.
Even though a terrible offensive start to the season enhanced during their latest stretch, the Stars remain tied to 23rd in overall crime and rank 25th using 2.92 goals per game in your home.
Nonetheless, this really is a team that gets it done on the rear end.
Dallas’ 2.35 goals per game total is that the third-best mark in the NHL, however their 1.90 goals against per game in your home is the best mark in the league. Remember they were also the NHL’s best home defense last year when they surrendered only 2.24 goals per game at the American Airlines Center. It would appear, but there is at least some regression as the season moves along coming from that home defense.
After averaging 4.14 targets per game during their seven-game win streak, the Stars were blanked at Chicago on Tuesday. Their crime was bad early on, but we knew regression came.
For the most part, their home ownership amounts are quite great.
Dallas ranks 17th at home using a 51.36percent Corsi For% in 5v5, their 53.35percent SCF% ranks 13th and also their 55.95percent HDCF% positions ninth. It’s difficult to argue with these numbers.
Getting the nod that is starting for the Stars will be a year ago Ben Bishop who is once more enjoying a year after a season that is Vezina-type.
Bishop enters this only sporting a 2.24 GAA and .926 Svpercent over the season but in addition a 1.82 GAA and .938 Sv% over 10 begins on ice. After a good month of October that saw Bishop post a 2.48 GAA and .916 Sv%, he’s been brilliant at November to the song of a 1.88 GAA and .940 SV% across seven begins.
He has, nevertheless, allowed three goals in two of his last 3 starts having a more human-like .912 Sv% in that moment.
To me, this is a difficult one.
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The Blues will be the best team in the west with a quality road record their numbers that are innovative do not seem to support that record whatsoever.
A Stars team that only saw a win streak snapped — a streak that sported an offensive explosion — could be in later becoming shutout out their time.
I don’t see much value in the Stars from the best team in the seminar at -160. I fight to see worth in the under given the likelihood attached to it and also the minimal total. The above holds worth, but not awarded how both of these teams.
At the day’s end I’m seeing value at the Blues.
Surethe Stars have won seven in a row at home, but the Blues are certainly one of the applicants to snap that series. It’s not often you receive a conference-leading staff at these odds no matter who the competition is.
I see that a lower-scoring, one-goal game and I am going to hop.