Browns vs Dolphins: Week 12 NFL Picks & Game Predictions
Cleveland comes into week 12, stuck in a perpetual cycle of play and diversion, after what could have been an uplifting victory on a divisional rival – the Browns, along with the support of DE Myles Garrett – were somehow able to disgrace themselves in victory, with all the last-minute antics from the last minutes of last week’s game vs the Steelers. Yet, somehow – this Browns’ team has a pragmatic route. They go 12 match versus Miami on Sunday, trying to move. The Browns hope to build momentum off and finish a successful homestand, which they’ve gone far in.
The Browns QB Baker Mayfield says that his team is going to be centered on the job at hand and that his group has not let the media frenzy which was induced in week 11 – gain into their locker room. Mayfield, that threw 12 interceptions in his first seven games this year, has bounced back big time because then, throwing with no pick in his past three for five TD’s. WR Jarvis Landry was able to make it to the end zone in his past 3 games headed into the week 12 meeting with his former group. In terms of the ground game, the Browns have leaned on Nick Chubb. Chubb’s 1011 racing yards is third-best from the league and will be currently heading into this game from a Miami team that’s 31st in the NFL in rush defense, allowing 148.3 yards rushing per game.
Aside from the black mark that Myles Garrett gets left about the Browns’ season. Garret’s loss is a massive one to cope with going forward. The former #1 draft selection had been tied for 4th in the NFL with 10 sacks and had been tied for sixth in the NFL. Moreover, the Browns will likely be without defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi, that was likewise suspended (1 game) because of his participation in the fighting incident a week. Ogunjobi is a bit of this Browns’ defense.
The winning streak of the Dolphin and its passing met with last Sunday.
Miami’s offensive line has been allowed seven sacks, together with the ground attack only gaining 23 yards throughout the entire game and shaky. The Dolphins will look to bounce back out of this functionality, and see themselves that’s win/loss record isn’t indicative of their group they are currently. 1st round pick DeVante Parker has been a shining light in a darkened room. Parker is sitting with 40 receptions for 604 yards this season and had a respectable showing vs Buffalo in week 11. Start Looking to stay a force in the Dolphin’s offense.
So far as the running game goes for the Dolphins, it is somewhat obsolete. Miami’s lead option at running back, Kalen Ballage travelled for 9 yards on 9 attempts a week in Buffalo, his season average has fallen today to 1.9 yards per carry. An abysmal amount we can see improve against a Cleveland defense that has struggled to safeguard the rush. To make matters worse, the Dolphins’ took a hit this week because safeties Reshad Jones and Bobby McCain were placed on IR weekly. This leaves yardage to be generated by a special chance for the Browns from the floor, while being able to discover openings against a defense that’s now a thinning.
Under Notification Home: 3-2
TeamRankings.com has Cleveland since the #18 team in the NFL and has Miami since the worst-rated staff in 32. Based on these numbers, the TeamRankings.com ability rating has Cleveland as 16pts better than Miami in their home area. Along with being the most worst-rated team at the markets. Miami is the team in the NFL when it comes to the typical scoring margin. The Dolphins sit at #32 with an average final score allowance of -16.6. Cleveland sits at #24 in that class
The Dolphins are not rated because the worst defense in the NFL. That name is reserved that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Although, Miami will sit since the 2nd worst defense in the league, with a 19.6% defensive performance score.
Cleveland is rated as the #18 defense in the league, so they let approximately 50 fewer yards per game compared to Miami and with a typical allowed point total of 22.8. The Browns let about 8 points less per game too. According to my defensive performance evaluations (via SparkSports.ca) I’ve the Browns as about 10pts better compared to the Dolphins on their home field.
This line opened as Cleveland -11 and has consequently proceeded a tick down to Cleveland -10.5. I presume that Cleveland’s established inability to score from the red zone may be what costs them the cover here. Once they get off to a fantastic start I have very little faith in this group to pull margin.
So far as the total goes, these two teams combine for a mean of 53.3 points allowed per game. Together with the whole opening in 44.5 and since moving up to 45, I feel that there could be some value over the under in this one, particularly if the industry is expecting both teams to generate points. When in fact, the Browns battle to capitalize on opportunities when it counts, and the Dolphins have done a great job of keeping games within reach farther down the stretch. It’s also worth mentioning that both these teams have hit to the below at a 60% up to Now this season (6-4)
Personally, I believe Miami stays within the number here. The pressure is mounting about the Browns and whether they don’t get off to a hot start in this particular one, the audience may turn them fast. If Miami could hang around and keep this one close, there’ll be an unbearable sense of terror inside First Energy Stadium on Sunday afternoon, and I think it is. Give me the fish in addition to the points. Together with confidence!
Score Prediction: Cleveland 27-17
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