Buccaneers vs. Jaguars: Week 13 NFL Picks & Game Predictions
They have got one of the greatest levels in the Week 13 NFL chances plank, but the”over” still appears good for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Jacksonville Jaguars.
It looks like just yesterday that the football world was debating whether Marcus Mariota or even Jameis Winston must go first overall in the NFL Draft. That was four years ago, obviously, but here we are in 2019, and also at least Winston — that the ultimate No. 1 — nevertheless has his own starting quarterback gig together with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. For now.
While the Bucs (4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS) are still on the verge of missing the playoffs for the 12th year in a row, the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS) still have a ray of hope, thanks to QB Nick Foles along with the relative weakness of the AFC South. But their streak leaves exactly the album as Tampa Bay to Jacksonville. Can there be any value together with the Jags as a pick’em about the NFL odds board?
Maybe. It’s Difficult to tell, along with also our usual suspects at the division that is quant can’t Appear to concur:
FiveThirtyEight: Jacksonville –2.5
Jeff Sagarin: Tampa Bay –0.58, 50.89 complete
Jacksonville opened –1 for this particular must-win matchup, but also the enlarged consensus reports at press time show 67.59 percentage of bettors and 70.24 percentage of the money on Tampa Bay, so here we are. The overall looks promising, mind you; before drifting down as much as 48, which gives us more than two points of profit margin to work with according to the numbers of Sagarin that this terrible boy opened at 49 points. Delicious.
Skipping the distribute and placing the”above” in your NFL picks makes sense to us. It’s supposed to be a beautiful Sunday afternoon in Jacksonville, Foles has performed with at slightly above league average since his return from a broken clavicle, and he will be facing the No. 25-ranked pass defense in the league on Sunday — according to the efficiency stats in Football Outsiders.
On the reverse side, Winston (22 TDs, 20 INTs) has frustrated this season, playing at roughly the identical degree Mariota did for the Tennessee Titans. However, at least Tampa’s ground game was half-decent using Ronald Jones II (4.0 yards per carry) taking over as the return, and the Jaguars have been have the worst run defense in the league.
Special teams are so-so for both clubs, with the Bucs leaving loads of things on the area — although the place-kickers have achieved nicely, together with Matt Gay nailing 21 of 24 field-goal efforts (even missing five of 32 PATs) and Josh Lambo better in 24-of-25 on figgies and 13-of-14 on additional points. That’s alright with us if we need either of these gentleman to supply three things for us over the hump. That the prolate spheroid be together with them.
Free NFL Pick: More than 48 (–103) at Matchbook
Jason’s 2019 NFL picks on album throughout Week 12: 9-6 ATS, 6-4 Totals