Florida State Seminoles at NC State Wolfpack NCAAM Pick – February 22, 2020
Sometimes once you bet on a team, you aren’t actually betting on them, you’re betting against the other team. In the business, we call it a fade. Yesterday, we faded the VCU Rams, on the street, contrary to the Saint Louis Billikens. The Rams were in freefall, with lost four of the previous five matches, also on the street this year from top-100 teamsthey had been 0-6.
Thus, when I saw them as road favorites against a top-100 Saint Louis group, I felt like financing the Billikens was free cash. And it was. Saint Louis dominated the match throughout, leading by as many as twenty five points in the second halfof the The Rams came out horizontal, along with the assertion I left that Rams head coach Mike Rhoads gets lost the locker room at this point, never seemed more apparent.
For VCU, the loss has been devastating to the Rams NCAA championship hopes. VCU has lost five out of their last six matches, and they would need to win against the A-10 championship to enter the NCAA tournament. The meltdown was hard to see since this group was a lock to move dance a few weeks ago and seemingly 16-5, coming.
For Saint Louis, they’d still require to have a enormous end to sneak into the NCAA tournament as an at-large bidding, but the win does place them in a position for a top-four seed in the A-10 tournament, and the double-bye that comes with it. Remember, the Billikens won the A-10 championship last year as a seed, so don’t count out the Billikens yet. For the modern day betting pick, we will visit the ACC, where the NC State Wolfpack perform with the Florida State Seminoles.
The North Carolina State Wolfpack are searching to build in their late-season momentum as they have won three out of their past four games, such as beating Duke in their last match, tonight, as they host the Florida State Seminoles. The Wolfpack have gone from way outside the subject of sixty-eighty, to right on the bubble, even with this recent surge, and a triumph on a top-10 ranked Florida State team tonight would probably punch their dance tickets into the madness.
For Florida State, the Seminoles have their sites set somewhat higher as they’re searching for an ACC regular-season title and a potential top-line seed in March. The Noles have won fifteen from the last seventeen games, such as winning a stellar twelve. Florida State has street wins in the ACC from Wake Forrest, Louisville, Miami, and Virginia Tech, and will look to improve that collection of road wins tonight.
I believe this Florida State group is a Final Four caliber squad. And for one primary reason. Leonard Hamilton’s team forces a slew of turnovers, without a team in the country and with their set offense can perform against them. They average more than nine steals per game, and their own turnover ratio is one of the greatest in the country at 3.5-1. Even against elite teams, they force a whole lot of turnovers.
Into turnovers, the Blue Devils were forced by them against Duke. Against Virginia, they pressured seventeen. And contrary to Louisville, sixteen was pressured by them. Kenpom has them because the defense in the country in terms of efficacy, but in terms of game circulation, also forcing a team they might be the very ideal. Their ability to dominate the game on the defensive side of this ground has Resulted in top-100 wins over Florida, Tennessee, Purdue, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Virginia, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, and Syracuse.
Not a lot of folks talked at the beginning of February about that NC State group concerning an at-large bid. On February 1st, they were only 14-8 overall and had dropped three straight games, including losses to North Carolina and Georgia Tech. However, the Wolfpack have begun to find out things late in the summer as they have won three from the past four games, including a beatdown of Duke.
Against the Blue Devils, NC State dominated the match and won with points. Markell Johnson had the greatest games of his career as he fell points, such as going 5-6 from profound, in the triumph. The Duke win got them back but when you look at the body of work for NC State, they have quality wins over Syracuse, UNC Greensboro, Notre Dame, Clemson, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
I seldom back road favorites in league playwith. It’s simply a situation that is very dicey, from financing the home underdogs in conference play and usually, the value comes . However, three things make me believe that financing Florida State is your play in this game.
The line is only 1 point. So we aren’t laying any wood here, we simply want Florida State to win the match outright. Every point matters, and also the fact that we are laying just one stage, does not frighten me away Whenever you’re laying wood on the road.
The important factor which makes me need to back Florida State, is precisely how accomplished this group is this year. During this tear throughout the ACC, they have just two losses. Both on the road, one against Duke, the other against Virginia. This team does not slide up against competition.
And this is a classic let down spot for NC State. The win within their Duke has been enormous. Is there some way that they can fit that intensity tonight? I doubt it. You loathe to think a team will come out flat in your home, but between the fact that they’ve spent hearing their titles discussed in the press as an all the sudden possible tournament group, and this Florida State suffocating defense, I visit a lot of early errors for NC State.
That I simply don’t think they will have the ability to score efficiently enough to win this match, and they are at home, although I understand NC State is playing right now. I think they are forced by the Seminoles into lots of turnovers and bad shots. And if you never anticipate a team to get blown out of the home floor, this game could get out of hand.
Against Louisville three weeks ago, at home, just points were scored by a group with a similarly competitive defense, NC State and got blown out. In home, the game before that, against North Carolina, they dropped by 5 digits and scored only points. I am not going to let the fluky triumph over Duke deflect me from the fact that Florida State is the team in this matchup. Give that the Florida State Seminoles as small road favorites tonight in Raleigh to me!