Heat vs. Nets: Free NBA Picks and Predictions
The total is comparatively low for 2 teams which have been scoring a lot but Kyrie Irving’s lack will help this game go Under at -110 NBA chances. Irving has missed if he’s progressing he’s expected to be out for at least one more competition and again the past eight games because of an injured right shoulder.
Not needing Irving (plus-7.2 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) from the Heat leaves the Nets with no serious firepower. Already missing Caris LeVert (minus-3.5 Offensive Box Plus/Minus), who is still recovering from a thumb injury, the Nets have turned to Spencer Dinwiddie (plus-3.0 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) to lead the offense and he is delivered.
Dinwiddie had 32 points, 11 assists and five rebounds at the 112-107 home win against the Celtics last Friday and he is averaging 23.4 points and 7.0 assists in his past 10 games. Even though turning the ball over 18 times, which led to 24 points from his or her 21, the Nets beat the Celtics. Till care is taken care of the ball by them they will not be aggressive against the Heat.
The Heat bookings have been one of their strengths this year, they combined on the 122-105 home win against the Warriors, directed by the 20 points of Goran Dragic of Friday. Dragic (plus-1.0 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) has been formidable as a sixth person, providing a spark off the bench together with rookie Tyler Herro (minus-1.0 Offensive Box Plus/Minus).
Keep an eye on Kelly Olynyk (plus-0.4 Offensive Box Plus/Minus), he had 15 points in 25 minutes against the Warriors and Jarrett Allen (plus-1.8 Defensive Box Plus/Minus) and DeAndre Jordan (plus-3.6 Defensive Box Plus/Minus) would have to contain him and Bam Adebayo whenever they would like a chance in this match. The Heat outrebounded the Warriors 48-30 plus it will be up to Jordan and Allen to win the battle of the planks.
The Nets are 6-2 with no Irving, together with Dinwiddie averaging 24.5 points and 7.8 assists in that period. Allen is also playing exceptionally well in these matches, averaging 15.6 points and 12.6 rebounds while shooting 72.5 percent in the area.
Miami can’t allow Dinwiddie go away for Brooklyn. If Jimmy Butler (plus-2.9 Defensive Box Plus/Minus) and firm lock down him then they’ll have a hard time scoring and Adebayo (plus-5.3 Defensive Box Plus/Minus) is more than capable of slowing down Allen.
The play I like for the NBA selections is to the complete. The Under is 4-1 at Miami’s past five road games, 5-2 in Brooklyn’s last seven games, 10-2 in the last 12 meetings and 5-1 in the last six encounters in Brooklyn. The Nets rank 17th in the NBA in offensive performance (105.2 points scored per 100 possessions) whereas the Heat rank sixth in defensive performance (101.1 points allowed per 100 possessions.
Free NBA Pick: Underneath 216.5 (-110) in Bovada