NCAAF Week 13 ATS Best Picks: Betting Picks & Predictions
It will probably be the meeting between both of these programs when the Minnesota Golden Gophers journey to Ryan Field to face the Northwestern Wildcats. Chances are in the season’s beginning, Minnesota did not expect the 96th meeting between these two groups to be important. Should the Golden Gophers win this week and the next week against Wisconsin they will punch their ticket to the BIG 10 Title match. What likely sounded like a pipe dream for head trainer P.J. Fleck and his children is now within their grasp.
There are a number of reasons why the Gophers have started the season (9-1). Much of the success offensively has been because of the play of Minnesota sophomore quarterback Tanner Morgan. He has pitched for 22 touchdowns and 2,470 yards while he does not possess the stats at the conference. Morgan contribution this season has been how protective he’s been in his hands using the ball. Limiting turnovers is enormous for any team, and Morgan has achieved exactly that, throwing only 4 interceptions on the season. The remainder of the offense was rock solid, and with Captain Morgan in the helm, the offense is in good shape.
On the other side of the globe, expectations have been exceeded by Minnesota. This defense is for real. Most 10 clubs are usually powerful on the defensive side of the ball, but the Gophers have been outstanding in 2019. Not merely is that the group rated in the top 30 in PPG allowed, but they are also 15th in the nation on protection. Against this Northwestern offense, which MIGHT the oddest Large 10 offense I have seen in a decade, Minnesota should have their way together.
If I had been setting this line, I would have had Minnesota nearer to a 16 point favored on the road. Despite the fact that this number opened at 12, I still think there is value in carrying Minnesota at -13.5. I am aware that it’s a BIG 10 conference road game and I know betting the preferred in this scenario does not put you up for success long term. However, in my opinion, this is a situation that is special. Northwestern is terrible and the shield is not quite as good as the past couple of years. This week I have to sign off on if it is possible to get the line laying under two touchdowns.
University of Minnesota -13.5 (-110) with PINNACLE
Saturday, November 23, 2019 – 12:00 PM EST
The branch in the BIG 10 has an even bigger game . Let’s begin here, Ohio State University is the best team in the nation. I think they are the team in the country soup to nuts. Ohio State has not won a match by greater than 24 points this season, although LSU is getting a lot of love and deservedly so. They are as complete a team as there is in college football.
They’re #4 in the nation in total offense this year and it starts with Heisman hopeful quarterback Justin Fields. 1 interception and 31 touchdowns, that’s insanity. He is better in protecting the soccer in throwing as good as Fields is. Underneath Justin Fields, the Buckeyes are also the #1 scoring offense in the nation at 51.5 points per match. Another large portion of this Buckeyes crime has been the game and specifically the play of J.K. Dobbins. He’s turned into a stud this season and 13 touchdowns behind a monster of an offensive line. As sick as the unit has been for Ohio State, they might not be the best device in the area this year for Ryan Day. OSU is the #1 team among categories that are defensive in the nation in total defense this season and they’ll be ready to go at 12:00pm eastern.
Themselves this year the other team playing that weekend deserves some credit. James Franklin has assembled a very good Penn State squad this season. Under the radar, this has been one of the greatest programs. If Penn State wins they could knock at Ohio State out of this BIG 10 championship game and probably the College Football Playoff too. This year the Nittany Lions offense is ranked 15th in the nation in scoring offense at 37 points per match. They’re also a 50 passing offense thanks this year.
While he hasn’t been awe-inspiring as Justin Fields, he has still thrown for just under 2,500 yards with 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. These are excellent numbers considering he plays games from BIG 10 defenses. Penn State has been overlooked annually because of dominant that Ohio State was the Nittany Lions have a team. They also have a high 15 defense in total defense. We are aware that Franklin will get his team prepared to play with the game of the season, but can it translate to success on the field? That’s the question.
So, what is the play in this match? The NCAAF chances market currently has this match lined outside as Ohio State having an 18.5 point favorite. The line has basically been there weekly. Considering they have beat every opponent this year by at least 24 points, I still understand why anybody would put the 18.5 with OSU.
I believe a edge is on the complete. The line started at 56 and is now 57.5 however there’s still value in the number. I believe this game is going over. I think OSU is capable of putting up 48 points in this match. It has been a distinctive offense all season long and I expect it to last.
On the flip side, Penn State has had an offense. That I expect them 17 to 20 things in this match, although I know they are currently playing with the # 1 team in the nation in total defense. I think that the Penn State offense is overly lively to not. Should they get 17 to 20 points, I believe this game goes within the complete comfortably. For me personally, the NCAAF choice has to be over 57.5 points. Good Luck gang!
Ohio State / Penn State OVER 57.5 (-105) with 5DIMES