NFL Football Picks: Week 13 Biggest Line Moves and Why
We passed on games like Cleveland and Pittsburgh because the line motion was predicated the Steelers quarterback shift, maybe not your fluctuations against the NFL odds.
This NFC contest has seen that the whole dip from 47 to 44.5. Weather is a part of the reason why, with websites predicting rain and perhaps even a little snow.
As we have seen through time, weather does not guarantee a score that is lower. As long as the end doesn’t influence the passing game for every team, both the Packers and Giants must move the ball, going up against the No. 28 and No. 27 guards, respectively, at the NFL.
Certainly New York and Green Bay will need to run the ball either by design or because of the weather that accelerate the competition and would keep the functioning that is clocking.
After enjoying their final match on the road with the Bundle 10-2 UNDER, let us call for them to win 27-17 and choose the UNDER for NFL picks.
Free NFL Football Select: Under 44.5 (-105) in 5Dimes
Sunday, Dec. 1, 1:00 pm ET (CBS) – in Lucas Oil Stadium
Despite a fantastic deal of sharp actions on Indianapolis, the Colts have dropped from -4 to -2.5 versus Tennessee. The Titans have seen a resurgence since installing Ryan Tannehill at quarterback, with a 4-1 record (3-1-1 ATS). This has attracted currently tied to Indianapolis, the Titans back to the AFC South conversation and one game back of Houston.
Why are sharps not excited about Tennessee? All four victories have occurred in Nashville. There is doubt the Titans will play the exact same vigor on the road and it is not like that they have a terrific history in Indy, with 7-13 ATS records and also 5-15 SU.
Another element that makes the Colts attractive at the moment is they have gone under the variety of three, which enhances their value. Tennessee is a abysmal 2-10 ATS after a couple of wins.
Free NFL Football Pick: Colts -2.5 (-105) at 5Dimes
Sunday, Dec. 1, 1:00 pm ET (FOX) – at Hard Rock Stadium
The total tumbling within this nonconference clash isn’t grabbing anyone off guard and there is ample reason for it to fall from 46.5 to 44.5.
Let us start with Miami averaging 14.8 PPG. They have been better in their past four outings in just over 20 PPG Although it’s correct, nobody is clamoring for Ryan Fitzpatrick or some Dolphins offensive player to make the Pro Bowl.
Philadelphia adds two elements to the equation. Carson Wentz is not currently playing football and a fantastic chunk of the reason why he is playing with receivers that are backups due to harm. The Eagles failed face three quite strong defenses in their very long homestand, nevertheless, 13.7 PPG is not enough points.
They arrived together and had a couple starters return after the Philly defense has surrendered 75 points in Dallas and Minnesota. Coach Doug Pederson’s ultra-aggressive defense has allowed 15.2 PPG in previous four games. Require the UNDER.
Free NFL Football Select: Under 44.5 (-108) in 5Dimes
Sunday, Dec. 1, 1:00 pm ET (FOX) – in TIAA Bank Stadium
There has been an avalanche of money bet on Tampa Bay and they’ve gone from +3.5 to minus 1-digit favored at Jacksonville. In theory, that is fairly impressive since the Buccaneers are off their very first spread winner because Sept. 29.
As most of the non-covers have been in matches decided by a touchdown or more, coach Bruce Arians Bucs were competitive.
The exact same cannot be said about Jacksonville, that has spun out of control at 0-3 SU and ATS. The Jaguars have lost that trio of matches by greater than 21 PPG, not scoring enough (12 PPG) or enjoying some other shield (33.6PPG).
It’s always a little scary from a perspective to see this type of action, but who’s in laying down cash comfortable?
Free NFL Football Pick: Buccaneers -1 (-110) in 5Dimes
Writer/handicapper Doug Upstone is 12-5 on free selections the previous four weeks online moves. The previous couple of decades, his tracked choices in the NFL will be 77-59. Make sure you follow Doug’s free perform at SportsBookReview.com.