Texas Longhorns at Georgetown Hoyas NCAAM Pick – November 21st
The 2K Empire Classic kicks off tonight in the world’s most famous arena, Madison Square Garden, in nyc. The area features four teams, including Duke Blue Devils the Texas Longhorns, Georgetown Hoyas, and California Bears. The matchups are between Duke and Cal and Georgetown from the early game, and Texas in the nightcap. The winners will play for the tournament on Friday, while the winners will play a consolation game for third place. For today’s selection, we’ll focus on the match between Texas and Georgetown.
The 22nd ranked Texas Longhorns are in NYC Thursday to get a non-conference matchup with the Georgetown Hoyas. The Longhorns find themselves at the after beginning out the season 4-0 with wins over Northern Colorado, California Baptist, Prairie View A&M, and a marquee win against the 23rd ranked Boilermakers of Purdue, over the street. Kenpom gets the Longhorns.
They have also enjoyed a strong start to the season as they are 3-1, with the lone loss. The Hoyas were selected to finish near the basement of the Big East this season, but have appeared promising to begin the season, and a win over a ranked team like Texas would be a large resume builder for the Hoyas. Kenpom has Georgetown rated at #70.
Is this season that Shaka Smart eventually takes Texas deep into the NCAA championship? I think so. Texas was backed by me earlier this season when they played at and beat Purdue, and now I feel as if this team is truly good, and they are still undervalued. The Longhorns did shed lottery select Jaxson Hayes from the last year’s NIT championship team, but they brought basically everyone else back, and this group can play basketball.
This team prides itself on protection, as is typically the case for a Shaka Smart team. All seven of their normal rotation players are averaging at least one steal a match, and Smart’s trademark chaos defense has been very effective to date this season. They are allowing a match to only fifty-five points, also kenpom has them rated as the best defensive team in the country in terms of efficiency.
The real question for Texas this year is who will evaluate the ball. Matt Coleman III is the top scorer at 14.5-points per match, and he is shooting a sizzling 58.3% from outside the arc. His running mate, fellow guard Andrew Jones, returns after missing almost all of last year and is now second on the team in scoring in 13.3-points each game.
He too can fill it up from heavy as he is a high-volume shooter and will be averaging 40.9% from three to 5.5 tries a game. This duo makes up one of the guard tandems in the country. Their skill score is going to be a major factor in precisely how high of a ceiling that team has.
For Georgetown, this seems like an off year for the Hoyas. It is not that Patrick Ewing does not have ability, but he can, it is only that they are fairly young and inexperienced. Last year leaned, to equal the Big East, along with the group was improved, but not great. This year all of those guys come back, most especially Mac McClung and James Akinjo, however they will have to locate a means to stop putting up a lot of bad shots.
This past year an paced crime ran, but in reality , it was too quickly as they were pleased to settle for rapid, bad looks. This season has been kept up with that speedy pace by them since they’re scoring nearly eighty-two points a game. But, similar to last season, the shooting percentage is not there as they’re shooting at only 43 from three.
When Georgetown played they took at a dismal 37% from the field, and they got blown out. And while Penn State has a great unit that is defensive they are nothing like what the Hoyas will watch tonight against Texas’ elite defense. Patrick Ewing is building this program the right way, but I believe they are still a couple of years away form.
So, how do I see this one? I visit at least or Texas three-quarters pressure from the outset, and that I expect them to compel Georgetown into plenty of shots that are poor. The Hoyas have proven should they do that tonight they just may get discounted, and that they don’t mind settling for looks. Like the Hoyas possess this Texas defense is too good to get torched by a mediocre crime, also they will really fight to score unless Georgetown has a very hot shooting night.
That means this game comes down to, so will Texas be able to score enough to pay this spread? I think so. While the Longhorns are maniacal on protection and play control the speed of the game and they want to slow down things on offense. This ought to lead to shots a lot of the night, and they should be able to produce buckets.
This line changed overnight as the early betting sharps hammered at Texas and opened up at Texas-5. It stands in Texas -6 today, and you need to lock this bet in prior to the amount moves more. The Longhorns will be the better team in this sport, and they should be able to shore to a victory. Give me exactly that the Texas Longhorns laying -6-points!